Tuesday, April 27, 2021

Google Q1 2021 Earnings

Numbers

  • Revenue: $55.31B (exp $51.61B)
  • EPS: $26.29 (exp $15.64)
  • Operating Income: $16.44B (exp $12.02B) 
  • Net Income - 17.9B
  • Approved Buyback Of Additional $50B Class C Stock
  • Google has 3 businesses growing at greater than 45% run rate and revenue of 4 bn a quarter
  • Alphabet structure is a scam, the goal is to burn some money to lower operating margin to reduce antitrust scrutiny
Segment Breakdown
  • Google search 31B vs 24.5B in Q1, 2020
  • Google Cloud revenue: $4.05 billion vs. $4.07 billion, according to FactSet estimates(2.7B in Q1 2020) up 48%
  • YouTube ads: $6.01 billion vs. $5.70 billion, according to StreetAccount (4B in Q1 2020) up 50%
  • Traffic Acquisition Costs (TAC): $9.71 billion  vs. $9.25
  • Google Network 6.8B
  • Google Other(hardware, playstore, non-advertising youtube revenues) 6.4B (4.4B in Q1 2020) up 45%
Operating Income breakdown
  • Google Service - 19.5B
  • Cloud lost 900M in Q1. Prediction is that in 2021 Cloud will be cash flow positive
  • Other bets lost 1.1B
  • Google ends the quarter with 135B in cash
Highlights and Opinions from earnings call
  • 100M searches for COVID and related health information
    • Retail, tech and CPG
    • Helping American airlines predict traffic on untapped routes
    • Searches for local and businesses are up 80% - accelerated curbside pickup
    • Omnichannel fulfillment approach using search and maps
    • Job seekers looking for jobs, top employment websites
    • What are the key drivers you are thinking of driving search growth ?
      • Queries - are you point place for customers to turn to when they need information
      • Ads Coverage - what percentage of the queries are commercial
      • Click through rates - next generation machine learning
      • CPC - quality of traffic, conversion rates, ROI - work closely with partners
  • Maps - indoor live view, navigate airports, malls and stations using AR
  • Google news showcase - 1 bn investment - UK, Italy, Argentina, Australia
  • Youtube 
    • educational videos - 77% respondents used for learning new skills
    • Youtube shorts 6.5 daily views as of march 
    • Brand and performance goals. Advertisers are using youtube to reach people they cant find anywhere else, awareness to consideration to action. More people here than all of TV.
    • Direct response, make it easier for people to buy. Purchases from creators directly from youtube. Product feeds can be directly brought on the video ads. 
    • 2B monthly logged in users and 2B hours per day
    • Violative view rate 1.6% down 70% from 2017
  • Other revenues : Google play > Youtube > Hardware
  • Chrome OS - 10 years - Chromebook fighting for K-12 education
  • Signing multi-year multi-product partnerships through Cloud
    • Univision, T-Mobile
    • Very strong customer momentum in data cloud - Twitter
    • AI/ML - Financial services, fraud and risk - HSBC
    • Bigquery - business intelligence cloud
    • Operational efficiency - migrating data center to Google Cloud
    • Google workspace - nurses and retail store workers
  • Waymo - 100 rides per week in Phoenix
  • Calico - clinical stage programs for Cancer
  • 7B investment in 2021 in US alone
2021 themes
  • Building and providing useful services
  • Quality of information, privacy and safety
  • Strong Execution 
  • Building sustainable value - Long term growth with financially sustainable businesses
Putting the Q1 numbers into historical perspective
Google's revenue in Q1 - this is a 34% jump in quarterly numbers
2021: $55.3 billion
2020: $41.2 billion
2019: $36.3 billion
2018: $31.1 billion
2017: $24.8 billion
2016: $20.3 billion
2015: $17.3 billion
2014: $15.4 billion
2013: $12.9 billion
2012: $10.6 billion
2011: $8.6 billion
2010: $6.8 billion
2009: $5.5 billion







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